Dear Mark,
I read a blog post earlier with the same title as this one. “Dear Mark Zuckerberg” which inspired me to write this blog post.
http://scobleizer.com/2010/05/13/dear-mark-zuckerberg/
He makes some interesting points. To split Facebook into private and public components, to make the private piece easier to set up, to have a third party verify your security, to do a better job evangelizing facebook’s abilties, and to use video more. All valid and thoughtful points.
I’m going to have just one point that I want to sell to you here though.
Take the money.
No not the users money, or corporate money who want to buy people’s information. Not partner companies, or stuff from Mobwars style games. not ad revenue.
You know those investors who wanted to buy Facebook for like thirty gagillion dollars? Call them up today. Fly them out. Have them write a number on a piece of paper. Take the money.
You can haggle a little bit if you like, play more than one off each other to get even more. I’m fine with that.
But you need to have check in hand within 3 months. The sooner the better.
Take your billions you stand to make, and buy an island and an absurdly big yacht that comes with it’s own James Bond supervillain helicopter and undersea base.
I mean some people already think of you as a James Bond supervillain so it’s not like it’s gonna be a stretch right? Am I right?
Seriously, dude. Take the money.
I say this because Facebook is gonna be Napsterized. You came on strong, but as fast as you rose, you’re gonna fall hard. I’m not sure exactly when, but it’s gonna happen, and I’m pretty sure that even if you double the users you currently have in the next year, you’re near peak. You’re probably not at peak yet, but that’s a great time to sell. You can still say “Look how much we’re growing! Look at our projections!” and turn that into an extra volcano lair for yourself.
What you don’t want to do is to start LOSING users. Have new users flatline, have old users stop coming to the site. Have your traffic start leveling off, then slowly declining…then dropping like a rock. That’s not the time to sell.
The time to sell is now.
This summer four kids who seem a hell of a lot less comically evil than you are gonna take a stab at your heart.
http://www.joindiaspora.com/
Oh I’m sure you already know about the Diaspora project, but let me tell the people who don’t know what it is, what it’s about. It’s an open source social network. It’s one where YOUR information is owned and kept by YOU. Not facebook. Most people don’t realize that whatever they post on facebook basically is out of their control forever. The user has no real control over what is shared, and what isn’t. It’s all in Facebook’s hands. Right now something might be private, but tommorow Facebook can change their mind, and poof. It’s public. Once it’s public it’s out there. Forever.
Diaspora aims to change that. They want to make it so that your social network is run more like….say torrents are now. You have your social information, your status, your pictures, etc, all in your own control, on your computer, or on a server somewhere that’s shared, but YOU control the information for it. It’s yours. No company has control over it, like Facebook presently.
Then you exchange your keys for your network with other people. List yourself on listing sites. I don’t know how they’re going to do it, but in the end it’s gonna be just like Facebook just minus the ads. Minus the crap. Minus the privacy questions. You’ll have full control over your information, and they won’t have to worry about the crap anymore.
Plus it’ll be open source, so there will be lots of different fun things people can do. They’ll add to it. There will be applications and websites to use it. You’ll not be limited to ONE company being the social hub of the world.
Because really what sounds more likely to be the de facto social experieince in 10 years? Or even 5? Or even 1? One where everyone in the goddamned world puts their information into your hands, Mark, or one where everyone controls their own information and chooses to use it however they want?
It happened with file sharing. Napster was the big dog, there were a few others but Napster was it. They got hit by the legal bomb, which I don’t think you will, but that didn’t stop file sharing. It went open source. It went to torrents. Now it’s easier and people have thousands of options. They don’t have to use one company who wants to leverage what is really not even their information.
That’s what Facebook has done. They’re taking all this stuff people are sharing and putting it in one place and claiming ownership of it. That’s what your’e doing when YOU decide what is public or not. You think you have a say, not just on your own site, but I think you think it in a more metaphorical sense.
Well you don’t, and either these kids at Diaspora are going to eliminate you or they’re the seed of the future that will. In 5 years I bet Facebook is still around but it’s a sad place that has adopted the new public standard and is trying to eek out an existance, and your market share will have been cut by an order of magnatude or more.
So…Yeah, do what you want Mark, but If you know what’s best for you, I think it’s time to take the money and run.
I hear that there is a monastery on top of a mountain in the alps that would makea a great location for a “laser” that can wipe out the moon.