Well we find out in 20 minutes, of when I write this, who gets to host the 2022 world cup. Fifa’s choices are the following:
The United States
Australia
Qatar
Japan
South Korea
Of those countries only two actually have all the infrastructure in place (the US and Australia) but Qatar has so much money that everyone believes that they’d build the stadiums they’re talking about.
Japan and South Korea co-hosted in 2002, compared to the others who either hosted in 1994, or never hosted ever, plus a lack of some infrastructure, and that they’re on the opposoite side of the world as Europe are negatives.
Really it comes down to
Exotic?
Good Time Difference for TV in Europe and/or America?
Infrastructure?
Profit?
Long term gain?
—
US – Exotic? No. Good Time Zone? Yes. Infrastructure? Yes. Profit? Yes. Long term gain? yes.
Australia – Exotic? No. Good Time Zone? No. Infrastructure? Yes. Profit? Maybe. Long term gain? No.
Qatar – Exotic? yes. Good Time Zone? Yes. Infrastructure? Maybe. Profit? Probably not. Long term gain? No.
—
The rational decision I think would be to give the bid to the US. Like Australia all the infrastructure is in place, and it’s where games can be held during the day and broadcast at night for Europe. Perfect. Plus it helps develop the world game in the worlds’ biggest market even more. After 94 there was a huge burst, and another games in 2022 could take the game even further, which is better long term for FIFA than ANYTHING any of the other countries can provide.
Australia would be the second rational pick. Infrastructure is in place, but not as much long term gain (the people there already are behind the game) and the time zone is pretty brutal for Europe and America to watch on TV.
So my guess is FIFA picks Qatar.
They’ll pick them because they don’t like Americans, and Australians are just too far away (and they don’t like them much either….). Plus they already gave a world cup to those japanese and south koreans just recently. No… Qatar. Good time zone. Exotic. Who cares about profit or long term gain. Plus Qatar says it’ll use parts from the one use stadiums it builds for the Cup to make 22 low cost stadiums in developing countries which FIFA can point at and feel good about themselves, even if it does nothing really for the long term health of world football.
(Also I bet 2018 goes to Russia)